Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 68.067530 76.709851 85.595421 95.383613 105.833778 116.628497 128.593642
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 54.623020 66.949342 80.242222 95.518807 112.470180 130.592258 151.320321
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 46.925660 61.296303 77.349400 96.355869 118.001855 141.664533 169.269223
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 40.006227 55.542253 73.478491 95.291572 120.703333 149.012378 182.580903
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 35.799902 52.430512 72.181117 96.740938 125.880506 158.829392 198.395939
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 32.524118 50.069603 71.453491 98.575455 131.270002 168.710664 214.149591
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 28.447236 46.288480 68.655095 97.623398 133.121962 174.301160 224.809886
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 24.338572 42.071423 64.982380 95.305797 133.087602 177.480356 232.498905
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 23.075364 41.575912 65.968378 98.714342 139.952540 188.800939 249.736177
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 21.577002 40.604460 66.222740 101.111772 145.518509 198.541703 265.105268
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 19.010148 37.866024 63.944792 100.105209 146.736262 202.957824 274.076677
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 16.676123 35.252872 61.662924 98.944862 147.641325 206.904744 282.419046
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 14.958153 33.456366 60.435800 99.143646 150.280393 213.025988 293.484202
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.415682 31.793147 59.293422 99.379380 152.919291 219.128101 304.534750
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.196637 30.538835 58.650685 100.223523 156.295871 226.117036 316.656367
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.602583 28.470339 56.680947 99.134889 157.067560 229.794528 324.680633
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.783236 27.689392 56.585481 100.619681 161.206413 237.699439 337.924014
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.122981 27.132697 56.789339 102.499111 165.857513 246.255422 351.992399
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.915861 25.391585 55.049343 101.523800 166.629063 249.840203 359.859104
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.570962 23.179986 52.421553 99.149237 165.420290 250.823538 364.424405
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.415314 23.434012 53.793619 102.641378 172.214592 262.127254 381.972539
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.088101 23.278714 54.470436 105.096941 177.592513 271.615820 397.263678
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.220040 21.796311 52.849271 104.066037 178.127136 274.799035 404.584953